Zaragoza II 1-2 Real Sociedad III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.91
Over
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
44%
4-5
15%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
30%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad III EU Bookmakers 23%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.42/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.07
+38% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses 11.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaragoza II
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Sociedad III
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.42 xG 0.99
42% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
231 Passes 342
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 3-1 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
17.09.2023 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 1-1 HT 0-0 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaragoza II
1-2
AWAY Real Sociedad III
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zaragoza II vs Real Sociedad III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad III edged past Zaragoza II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Zaragoza II at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zaragoza II had 54% of the ball to Real Sociedad III's 46%, shots finished 12-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zaragoza II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zaragoza II and 1.00 for Real Sociedad III.

What was the final score of Zaragoza II vs Real Sociedad III?

Zaragoza II 1-2 Real Sociedad III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaragoza II vs Real Sociedad III?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaragoza II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zaragoza II 48%, draw 27%, Real Sociedad III 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zaragoza II) ✗ Under 2.5
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