Young Boys 3-1 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.89
2-3 Goals
36%
1.95
4-5 Goals
28%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
7.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.45
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.65
X/2
15%
8.32
X/X
13%
5.75
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
9%
5.49
2/X
7%
13.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.0pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Young Boys EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 29%
+13% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.64/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.45
+50% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 71%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
23.7 Crosses 15.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Young Boys
3W-1D-2L
AWAY St. Gallen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
292 Passes 224
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 4-0 HT 2-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
16.05.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 3-1 HT 0-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
07.04.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-2 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
09.12.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 3-0 HT 2-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
27.09.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
06.05.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 0-2 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Young Boys
3-1
AWAY St. Gallen
3.36 xG 1.49
60% Ball Possession 40%
26 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
430 Passes 244
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
43 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Young Boys vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Young Boys beat St. Gallen 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Young Boys as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Young Boys had 60% of the ball to St. Gallen's 40%, shots finished 26-10, expected goals 3.36 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Young Boys and 1.50 for St. Gallen.

What was the final score of Young Boys vs St. Gallen?

Young Boys 3-1 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Young Boys vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Young Boys 41%, draw 27%, St. Gallen 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Young Boys), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Young Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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