Servette 3-0 Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 29% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.53
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
4%
12.95
X/1
21%
4.59
X/2
12%
8.17
X/X
12%
5.15
2/1
6%
23.0
2/2
9%
5.71
2/X
11%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.0pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Servette EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +17%
1.96/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.62
-1% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
24.4 Crosses 14.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Servette
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lugano
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.52 xG 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
292 Passes 403
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Lugano Lugano 3-1 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
02.06.2024 Servette Servette 0-0 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSVK
25.05.2024 Lugano Lugano 0-2 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
18.02.2024 Servette Servette 2-1 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
17.12.2023 Servette Servette 2-2 HT 2-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
08.10.2023 Lugano Lugano 0-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Servette
3-0
AWAY Lugano
1.87 xG 0.86
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
279 Passes 399
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
41 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Servette vs Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette ran out comfortable winners over Lugano 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Servette as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Servette had 43% of the ball to Lugano's 57%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.87 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Servette and 1.00 for Lugano.

What was the final score of Servette vs Lugano?

Servette 3-0 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Servette vs Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Servette 43%, draw 27%, Lugano 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Servette), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Servette) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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