Flamengo 3-2 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 1 Dec 2024

Flamengo
3-2 HT 3-0
Internacional
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Flamengo vs Internacional Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.59
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
15%
4.34
X/2
8%
8.19
X/X
13%
4.41
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
11%
6.38
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Flamengo v Internacional — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.46/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.39
-29% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
19.4 Crosses 15.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1

Flamengo vs Internacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Internacional
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.34 xG 1.32
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
474 Passes 293
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.10.2024 Internacional Internacional 1-1 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
27.08.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 0-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
23.04.2023 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
06.10.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 0-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
12.06.2022 Internacional Internacional 3-1 HT 2-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
21.11.2021 Internacional Internacional 1-2 HT 1-2 Flamengo Flamengo BR1

Flamengo 3-2 Internacional — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
3-2
AWAY Internacional
2.67 xG 1.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
374 Passes 278
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo edged past Internacional 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Flamengo had 56% of the ball to Internacional's 44%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.67 to 1.07 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Flamengo's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Flamengo and 1.17 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Internacional?

Flamengo 3-2 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 46%, draw 27%, Internacional 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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