Vasco da Gama 2-2 Atletico Goianiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.85
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
4.18
6+ Goals
7%
20.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 34% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.61
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
14%
4.26
X/2
8%
8.14
X/X
15%
4.28
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
12%
6.51
2/X
8%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.7pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
1.22/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.24
-10% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +38%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
29.4 Crosses 17.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasco da Gama
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.95 xG 1.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
349 Passes 299
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.08.2024 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BRK
01.08.2024 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-1 HT 1-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BRK
18.07.2024 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-1 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
08.01.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-0 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
11.09.2020 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
19.10.2017 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-1 HT 0-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasco da Gama
2-2
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
1.57 xG 1.23
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
527 Passes 314
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 18
33 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Goianiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasco da Gama and Atletico Goianiense couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vasco da Gama at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vasco da Gama had 61% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 39%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.57 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vasco da Gama had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vasco da Gama and 0.50 for Atletico Goianiense.

What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Goianiense?

Vasco da Gama 2-2 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Serie A on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Goianiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 44%, draw 29%, Atletico Goianiense 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vasco da Gama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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