Cuiaba vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cuiaba v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Cuiaba vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Cuiaba
BR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Bahia
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Cuiaba
BR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Bahia
BR1
Cuiaba 1-2 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Bahia nicked a narrow win over Cuiaba 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bahia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cuiaba had 44% of the ball to Bahia's 56%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.63 to 1.13 — on chances, Cuiaba could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cuiaba had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Cuiaba and 0.60 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Bahia?
Cuiaba 1-2 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 31%, draw 24%, Bahia 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.