Criciuma 2-4 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 1 Dec 2024

Criciuma
2-4 HT 2-0
Corinthians
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Criciuma vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
4.1
6+ Goals
8%
19.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 34% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.03
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
11%
6.64
X/2
12%
4.7
X/X
15%
4.29
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.1
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-5.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Criciuma v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Criciuma EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.97/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.94
-10% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +25%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 83%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
22.2 Crosses 17.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3

Criciuma vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Criciuma
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Corinthians
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.18 xG 0.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
269 Passes 307
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.07.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 0-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR1
06.12.2014 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR1
07.09.2014 Criciuma Criciuma 0-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
20.10.2013 Corinthians Corinthians 1-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR1
04.08.2013 Criciuma Criciuma 0-2 HT 0-2 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
02.08.2008 Corinthians Corinthians 0-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2

Criciuma 2-4 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Criciuma
2-4
AWAY Corinthians
0.76 xG 2.35
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 7
269 Passes 512
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Criciuma vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians saw off Criciuma 4-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Corinthians found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Criciuma had 38% of the ball to Corinthians's 62%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 0.76 to 2.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Criciuma and 1.17 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Criciuma vs Corinthians?

Criciuma 2-4 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 32%, draw 30%, Corinthians 37%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Corinthians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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