Le Havre 0-1 Angers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
4.65
6+ Goals
9%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.69
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
10%
5.44
X/2
15%
7.15
X/X
13%
4.22
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
11%
5.47
2/X
9%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Angers EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -14%
1.58/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.24
+1% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
17.6 Crosses 18.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Angers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
20.03.2015 Angers Angers 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
17.10.2014 Le Havre Le Havre 1-0 HT 1-0 Angers Angers FR2
11.04.2014 Angers Angers 1-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
08.11.2013 Le Havre Le Havre 1-2 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR2
15.02.2013 Le Havre Le Havre 2-1 HT 1-1 Angers Angers FR2
17.09.2012 Angers Angers 3-1 HT 2-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
0-1
AWAY Angers
0.26 xG 2.14
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
434 Passes 340
89% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 15
34 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Le Havre vs Angers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angers edged past Le Havre 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Angers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Le Havre had 56% of the ball to Angers's 44%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.26 to 2.14 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Angers's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Angers led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Le Havre and 1.33 for Angers.

What was the final score of Le Havre vs Angers?

Le Havre 0-1 Angers in the France - Ligue 1 on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre vs Angers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Havre win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 36%, draw 29%, Angers 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Le Havre) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Le Havre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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