Sporting CP U23 3-2 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 1 Dec 2025

📅01/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 28%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.49
-14% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP U23
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Estoril U23
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.09.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 0-5 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
16.03.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 0-1 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
15.01.2025 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 2-2 HT 0-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
02.12.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 0-0 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
13.09.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 1-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
17.04.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP U23
3-2
AWAY Estoril U23
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting CP U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 edged past Estoril U23 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting CP U23 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sporting CP U23 had 44% of the ball to Estoril U23's 56%, shots finished 13-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP U23 had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sporting CP U23 and 0.67 for Estoril U23.

What was the final score of Sporting CP U23 vs Estoril U23?

Sporting CP U23 3-2 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 01/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP U23 50%, draw 20%, Estoril U23 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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