Estoril U23 0-5 Sporting CP U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.8pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
3.59/2.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.12
+150% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Sporting CP U23
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 0-1 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
15.01.2025 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 2-2 HT 0-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
02.12.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 0-0 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
13.09.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 1-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
17.04.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
13.02.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 2-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
0-5
AWAY Sporting CP U23
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 13
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Sporting CP U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 swept aside Estoril U23 5-0 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Sporting CP U23 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 39% of the ball to Sporting CP U23's 61%, shots finished 7-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP U23 led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Estoril U23 and 1.17 for Sporting CP U23.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Estoril U23 0-5 Sporting CP U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 38%, draw 26%, Sporting CP U23 35%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Estoril U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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