Juventus 4-1 Empoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.71
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.85
X/1
16%
3.79
X/2
8%
14.1
X/X
8%
6.18
2/1
7%
22.55
2/2
5%
12.3
2/X
7%
20.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.8pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Empoli EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.78/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.68
-6% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
19.6 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Empoli
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.21 xG 1.21
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
394 Passes 384
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Empoli Empoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
27.01.2024 Juventus Juventus 1-1 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
03.09.2023 Empoli Empoli 0-2 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
22.05.2023 Empoli Empoli 4-1 HT 2-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
21.10.2022 Juventus Juventus 4-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
26.02.2022 Empoli Empoli 2-3 HT 1-2 Juventus Juventus İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
4-1
AWAY Empoli
1.86 xG 0.76
56% Ball Possession 44%
23 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
304 Passes 217
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Empoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus ran out comfortable winners over Empoli 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Juventus had 56% of the ball to Empoli's 44%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 1.86 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Juventus and 1.17 for Empoli.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Empoli?

Juventus 4-1 Empoli in the Italy - Serie A on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Empoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Juventus 55%, draw 24%, Empoli 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juventus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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