Zira vs Karabağ Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zira v Karabağ — Team-Based Signals
Zira vs Karabağ Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Karabağ
AZERS
0-1
HT 0-0
Zira
AZERS
Zira edged past Karabağ 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Karabağ at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zira and 2.17 for Karabağ.
What was the final score of Zira vs Karabağ?
Zira 3-2 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zira vs Karabağ?
Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zira 26%, draw 25%, Karabağ 49%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.