Alianza 2-0 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 2 Feb 2025

Alianza
2-0
Dragon
📅02/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Alianza vs Dragon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-11.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.2pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alianza v Dragon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 15%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.78/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/2.15
+4% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
224 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Alianza vs Dragon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dragon
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
28.10.2024 Dragon Dragon 1-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
25.08.2024 Alianza Alianza 3-0 HT 1-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
25.04.2024 Alianza Alianza 6-1 HT 3-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
26.02.2024 Dragon Dragon 0-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
30.10.2023 Alianza Alianza 2-2 HT 1-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
04.09.2023 Dragon Dragon 0-3 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza saw off Dragon 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Alianza and 0.67 for Dragon.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Dragon?

Alianza 2-0 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Alianza 54%, draw 26%, Dragon 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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