Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Puszcza Niepolomice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.37
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 29% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.02
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.0
X/1
19%
4.07
X/2
6%
10.55
X/X
10%
5.45
2/1
8%
22.55
2/2
14%
8.6
2/X
7%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 21%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.78/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.45
-15% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
18.2 Crosses 17.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Zabrze
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.83 xG 0.54
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
385 Passes 257
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.07.2024 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
17.05.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-1 HT 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
26.11.2023 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 2-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Zabrze
1-1
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
1.76 xG 1.91
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
505 Passes 228
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gornik Zabrze vs Puszcza Niepolomice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Zabrze and Puszcza Niepolomice couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gornik Zabrze at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Gornik Zabrze had 65% of the ball to Puszcza Niepolomice's 35%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.76 to 1.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Puszcza Niepolomice led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 1.67 for Puszcza Niepolomice.

What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Puszcza Niepolomice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Zabrze vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 51%, draw 25%, Puszcza Niepolomice 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gornik Zabrze), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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