Jagiellonia Bialystok 5-0 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 2 Feb 2025

Jagiellonia Bialystok
5-0 HT 5-0
Radomiak Radom
📅02/02/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Radomiak Radom Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
9.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.34
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1 EV+ ✗
22%
4.6
X/2
9%
8.76
X/X
8%
5.3
2/1
7%
21.7
2/2
14%
6.39
2/X
7%
13.95
Value flag · X/1 at 4.6 — our 22% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jagiellonia Bialystok v Radomiak Radom — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +5%
1.97/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.52
+30% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
22.7 Crosses 17.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Radomiak Radom Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.51
47% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
270 Passes 301
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.07.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-3 HT 0-2 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
16.03.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-2 HT 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
17.09.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-2 HT 2-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
20.02.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-0 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
06.08.2022 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-2 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
11.04.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-2 HT 1-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL

Jagiellonia Bialystok 5-0 Radomiak Radom — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
5-0
AWAY Radomiak Radom
2.51 xG 1.02
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
438 Passes 210
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jagiellonia Bialystok swept aside Radomiak Radom 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jagiellonia Bialystok as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 64% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 36%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.51 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 1.33 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Radomiak Radom?

Jagiellonia Bialystok 5-0 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 49%, draw 23%, Radomiak Radom 28%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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