Deportivo Cali 3-0 Deportivo Pasto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 2 Feb 2026

📅02/02/2026 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
55%
+0.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.32/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.25
-28% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
20.8 Crosses 13.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cali
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.97 xG 0.88
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
342 Passes 239
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2025 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
30.03.2025 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
03.09.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
24.02.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
04.09.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 4-0 HT 3-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
19.03.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cali
3-0
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
2.24 xG 0.55
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
323 Passes 343
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 10
6 Crosses 6
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cali vs Deportivo Pasto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cali ran out comfortable winners over Deportivo Pasto 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Cali as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Cali had 48% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 52%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 2.24 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cali had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Cali and 1.17 for Deportivo Pasto.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs Deportivo Pasto?

Deportivo Cali 3-0 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 02/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs Deportivo Pasto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 55%, draw 23%, Deportivo Pasto 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Cali), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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