Pau vs Caen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pau v Caen — Team-Based Signals
Pau vs Caen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Pau
FR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Caen
FR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Pau
FR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Caen
FR2
1-2
HT 1-1
Pau
FR2
1-1
HT 1-0
Pau
FR2
Pau 2-3 Caen — Actual Match Statistics
Caen edged past Pau 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Caen made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Pau had 56% of the ball to Caen's 44%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.24 to 0.75 — the balance of chances actually favoured Pau.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pau had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pau and 0.83 for Caen.
What was the final score of Pau vs Caen?
Pau 2-3 Caen in the France - Ligue 2 on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pau vs Caen?
Before kick-off our model rated an Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pau 35%, draw 27%, Caen 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.