Leganes 1-0 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 2 Mar 2025

Leganes
1-0 HT 0-0
Getafe
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Leganes vs Getafe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
31%
2.66
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.36
Over 2.5
40%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
7.55
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.75
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
10%
5.66
X/2
12%
5.25
X/X
17%
2.97
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
4.24
2/X
8%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.5pp
31%
Draw
34%
-2.9pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
70%
-9.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
30%
+9.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.4pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leganes v Getafe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
0.98/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.30
-30% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 69%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
15.9 Crosses 18.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3

Leganes vs Getafe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Getafe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.74 xG 1.10
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
215 Passes 215
65% Pass Accuracy 64%
14 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Getafe Getafe 1-1 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
19.07.2023 Getafe Getafe 1-0 Leganes Leganes HAZ
16.07.2022 Leganes Leganes 2-0 Getafe Getafe HAZ
17.01.2020 Leganes Leganes 0-3 HT 0-3 Getafe Getafe İS1
19.10.2019 Getafe Getafe 2-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
30.03.2019 Getafe Getafe 0-2 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS1

Leganes 1-0 Getafe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
1-0
AWAY Getafe
0.99 xG 0.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 6
322 Passes 169
76% Pass Accuracy 62%
12 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Getafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leganes edged past Getafe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Leganes found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Leganes had 59% of the ball to Getafe's 41%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.99 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Getafe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Leganes and 1.17 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Getafe?

Leganes 1-0 Getafe in the Spain - Primera Liga on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Getafe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leganes 31%, draw 31%, Getafe 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Getafe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Getafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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