Barcelona 4-0 Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 2 Mar 2025

Barcelona
4-0 HT 2-0
Real Sociedad
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✓
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Barcelona vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.28
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.65
6+ Goals
10%
6.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.43
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
22.1
X/1
19%
3.79
X/2
6%
20.9
X/X
9%
8.43
2/1
7%
21.7
2/2
6%
18.0
2/X
5%
26.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-11.8pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.0pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barcelona v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 12%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
2.31/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.96
+19% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +1%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
492 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
37.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
19.0 Crosses 10.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Barcelona vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Real Sociedad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.70 xG 1.32
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
501 Passes 269
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.11.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 1-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
13.05.2024 Barcelona Barcelona 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
04.11.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
20.05.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
25.01.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İSPK
21.08.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-4 HT 1-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1

Barcelona 4-0 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona
4-0
AWAY Real Sociedad
2.85 xG 0.00
76% Ball Possession 24%
33 Total Shots 0
10 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 0
681 Passes 164
91% Pass Accuracy 72%
66 Box Touches 1
19 Crosses 4
POST-MATCH Barcelona vs Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona swept aside Real Sociedad 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Barcelona had 76% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 24%, shots finished 33-0, expected goals 2.85 to 0.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Barcelona and 0.67 for Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Barcelona vs Real Sociedad?

Barcelona 4-0 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Primera Liga on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona vs Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 62%, draw 23%, Real Sociedad 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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