Mallorca 1-1 Deportivo Alaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 2 Mar 2025

Mallorca
1-1 HT 1-0
Deportivo Alaves
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Mallorca vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.41
Over 2.5
44%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
1.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
6.38
6+ Goals
11%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.63
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.5
X/1
17%
4.85
X/2
9%
6.18
X/X
16%
3.24
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
5.25
2/X
8%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.0pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
67%
-11.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
33%
+11.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mallorca v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mallorca EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.07/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.40
-31% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
21.5 Crosses 19.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Mallorca vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mallorca
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.22 xG 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
273 Passes 272
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.11.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
24.02.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
03.12.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
19.04.2022 Mallorca Mallorca 2-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
21.08.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
15.02.2020 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1

Mallorca 1-1 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mallorca
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
1.18 xG 1.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
248 Passes 314
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 30
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mallorca vs Deportivo Alaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mallorca and Deportivo Alaves couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Mallorca at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Mallorca had 44% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 56%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 1.18 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mallorca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mallorca and 0.50 for Deportivo Alaves.

What was the final score of Mallorca vs Deportivo Alaves?

Mallorca 1-1 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Deportivo Alaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mallorca win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 41%, draw 28%, Deportivo Alaves 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mallorca), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mallorca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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