FC Bari 1908 1-1 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.91
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.69
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
9%
5.27
X/2
17%
6.16
X/X
15%
3.54
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.69
2/X
5%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
32%
-4.7pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -6%
1.33/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.33
-4% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
22.3 Crosses 17.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sampdoria
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.58 xG 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
16.03.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-1 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
26.12.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
28.04.2012 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
19.11.2011 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 0-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
23.04.2011 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-1 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
1-1
AWAY Sampdoria
0.94 xG 2.05
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
224 Passes 343
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 and Sampdoria shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 42% of the ball to Sampdoria's 58%, shots finished 5-20, expected goals 0.94 to 2.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sampdoria led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 1.00 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Sampdoria?

FC Bari 1908 1-1 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bari 1908 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 38%, draw 27%, Sampdoria 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Bari 1908), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Bari 1908) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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