Palermo vs Brescia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palermo v Brescia — Team-Based Signals
Palermo vs Brescia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Brescia
İTB
2-2
HT 2-0
Brescia
İTB
1-1
HT 0-0
Palermo
İTB
1-1
HT 0-0
Brescia
İTB
Palermo 1-0 Brescia — Actual Match Statistics
Palermo squeezed past Brescia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Palermo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Palermo had 54% of the ball to Brescia's 46%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 2.43 to 0.60 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Palermo's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brescia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Palermo and 1.50 for Brescia.
What was the final score of Palermo vs Brescia?
Palermo 1-0 Brescia in the Italy - Serie B on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palermo vs Brescia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Palermo 45%, draw 28%, Brescia 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.