Modena 1-1 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.67
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.08
6+ Goals
10%
19.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
21%
4.27
X/2
10%
9.33
X/X
14%
4.22
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
10%
7.88
2/X
7%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modena EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.28/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.37
-16% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
19.8 Crosses 19.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modena
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 0.96
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
295 Passes 341
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2024 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-1 HT 0-1 Modena Modena İTB
10.02.2024 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 1-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
29.08.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-2 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
21.01.2023 Modena Modena 2-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
21.08.2022 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 2-1 HT 0-1 Modena Modena İTB
11.03.2002 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Modena
1-1
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
0.85 xG 0.59
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
473 Passes 228
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 15
34 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Modena vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena and Cosenza Calcio shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Modena at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Modena had 64% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 36%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 0.85 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Modena and 1.00 for Cosenza Calcio.

What was the final score of Modena vs Cosenza Calcio?

Modena 1-1 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modena vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Modena 45%, draw 28%, Cosenza Calcio 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Modena), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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