Catanzaro 1-1 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.68
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.44
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
12%
4.98
X/2
9%
6.24
X/X
16%
3.79
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
17%
4.86
2/X
9%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -11%
1.35/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.01
+35% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
19.5 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Reggiana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 0.96
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
542 Passes 248
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Reggiana Reggiana 2-2 HT 2-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
09.03.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 0-1 HT 0-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
26.12.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 1-0 HT 1-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
13.05.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 2-2 HT 1-2 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
1-1
AWAY Reggiana
1.66 xG 1.40
67% Ball Possession 33%
21 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
459 Passes 211
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 17
38 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro and Reggiana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Catanzaro had 67% of the ball to Reggiana's 33%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.66 to 1.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Reggiana led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Catanzaro and 1.50 for Reggiana.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Reggiana?

Catanzaro 1-1 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 39%, draw 30%, Reggiana 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Catanzaro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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