AlbinoLeffe 1-1 Novara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
37%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.48
Over 2.5
47%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
5.46
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
32%
-5.9pp
37%
Away Win
24%
+13.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
64%
-10.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
36%
+10.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.4pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Novara EU Bookmakers 27%
-12% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.02/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.06
-22% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AlbinoLeffe
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Novara
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Novara Novara 2-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
10.03.2024 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-0 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
04.11.2023 Novara Novara 0-3 HT 0-2 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
05.02.2023 Novara Novara 1-2 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
09.10.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 3-1 HT 1-1 Novara Novara İTC
21.03.2021 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-1 HT 0-1 Novara Novara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AlbinoLeffe
1-1
AWAY Novara
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AlbinoLeffe vs Novara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AlbinoLeffe and Novara shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, AlbinoLeffe had 48% of the ball to Novara's 52%, shots finished 5-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AlbinoLeffe had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AlbinoLeffe and 0.83 for Novara.

What was the final score of AlbinoLeffe vs Novara?

AlbinoLeffe 1-1 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AlbinoLeffe vs Novara?

Before kick-off our model rated a AlbinoLeffe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AlbinoLeffe 38%, draw 26%, Novara 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AlbinoLeffe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AlbinoLeffe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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