San Diego vs St. Louis City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Diego v St. Louis City — Team-Based Signals
San Diego vs St. Louis City Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
San Diego 2-0 St. Louis City — Actual Match Statistics
San Diego got the better of St. Louis City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had San Diego as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, San Diego had 65% of the ball to St. Louis City's 35%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.86 to 0.41.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, San Diego had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for San Diego and 0.50 for St. Louis City.
What was the final score of San Diego vs St. Louis City?
San Diego 2-0 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 02/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Diego vs St. Louis City?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split San Diego 53%, draw 22%, St. Louis City 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Diego) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.