San Diego 0-0 St. Louis City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒06:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.73
6+ Goals
12%
7.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.71
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
4%
12.05
X/1
19%
5.13
X/2
9%
7.53
X/X
13%
5.4
2/1
5%
21.7
2/2 EV+ ✗
23%
4.93
2/X
6%
12.7
Value flag · 2/2 at 4.93 — our 23% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+8.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Diego EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Louis City EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
Crosses 18.1
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Diego
0-0
AWAY St. Louis City
0.97 xG 0.06
72% Ball Possession 28%
15 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
629 Passes 215
90% Pass Accuracy 77%
36 Box Touches 7
35 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH San Diego vs St. Louis City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Diego and St. Louis City fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, San Diego had 72% of the ball to St. Louis City's 28%, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 0.97 to 0.06.

What was the final score of San Diego vs St. Louis City?

San Diego 0-0 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Diego vs St. Louis City?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Diego 40%, draw 23%, St. Louis City 37%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (San Diego) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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