Orlando City 2-4 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Mar 2026

📅02/03/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.74
Over 2.5
63%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.41
No
36%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.9pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.2pp
54%
Away Win
53%
+1.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
33%
+3.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
67%
-3.9pp
64%
BTTS Yes
67%
-3.1pp
36%
BTTS No
33%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 57%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.57/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.55
-3% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 83%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
18.3 Crosses 13.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.59 xG 1.35
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
342 Passes 433
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.08.2025 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City CONLK
11.08.2025 Orlando City Orlando City 4-1 HT 1-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
19.05.2025 Inter Miami Inter Miami 0-3 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
16.05.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 0-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
03.03.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 5-0 HT 3-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
25.09.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 1-1 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
2-4
AWAY Inter Miami
0.81 xG 1.82
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
334 Passes 557
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 23
4 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orlando City vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami saw off Orlando City 4-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inter Miami as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Orlando City had 39% of the ball to Inter Miami's 61%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.81 to 1.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Orlando City and 1.67 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs Inter Miami?

Orlando City 2-4 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 02/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 27%, draw 19%, Inter Miami 54%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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