Municipal Liberia 1-0 Sporting San Jose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 2 Mar 2026

📅02/03/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
37%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+7.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +17%
1.37/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.23
-7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting San Jose
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2025 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 3-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
08.09.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-1 HT 1-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
09.03.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
29.01.2025 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
02.11.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
19.08.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Sporting San Jose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia nicked a narrow win over Sporting San Jose 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Municipal Liberia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting San Jose led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Municipal Liberia and 1.33 for Sporting San Jose.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Sporting San Jose?

Municipal Liberia 1-0 Sporting San Jose in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 02/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Sporting San Jose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 39%, draw 24%, Sporting San Jose 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Liberia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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