Municipal Liberia 2-1 Sporting San Jose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 8 Sep 2025

📅08/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.99/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.70
+15% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting San Jose
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
29.01.2025 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
02.11.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
19.08.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
28.04.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 3-2 HT 2-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
26.02.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-0 HT 2-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
2-1
AWAY Sporting San Jose
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Sporting San Jose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia squeezed past Sporting San Jose 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal Liberia as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 54% of the ball to Sporting San Jose's 46%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting San Jose led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Municipal Liberia and 1.17 for Sporting San Jose.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Sporting San Jose?

Municipal Liberia 2-1 Sporting San Jose in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 08/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Sporting San Jose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 53%, draw 25%, Sporting San Jose 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Liberia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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