Nacional Asuncion 1-1 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 2 Mar 2026

📅02/03/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.18/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.96
-6% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Club Guarani
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
13.07.2025 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
27.04.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-1 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
16.02.2025 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-2 HT 1-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
30.11.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
17.09.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
1-1
AWAY Club Guarani
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion and Club Guarani shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 47% of the ball to Club Guarani's 53%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Guarani led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 1.00 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?

Nacional Asuncion 1-1 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 02/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 40%, draw 26%, Club Guarani 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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