Cerro Porteno 2-0 Deportivo Recoleta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 2 Mar 2026

📅02/03/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.18
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
16%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.51
No
53%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
80%
-17.1pp
21%
Draw
14%
+6.7pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+10.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
36%
+11.4pp
53%
BTTS No
64%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 8%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.50/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.80
-37% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -2%
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
454 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 72%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
34.0 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
54% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.10.2025 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
27.07.2025 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 1-3 HT 0-3 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
29.04.2025 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 1-3 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
16.02.2025 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo Recoleta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno beat Deportivo Recoleta 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 60% of the ball to Deportivo Recoleta's 40%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Cerro Porteno and 0.75 for Deportivo Recoleta.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Cerro Porteno 2-0 Deportivo Recoleta in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 02/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 63%, draw 21%, Deportivo Recoleta 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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