Bournemouth 1-2 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.96
6+ Goals
13%
8.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.69
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
18.1
X/1
23%
3.92
X/2
7%
14.8
X/X
8%
6.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.7
2/2
9%
12.4
2/X
7%
20.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.7 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-9.2pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.8pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.0pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 17%
-16% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.76/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.41
-27% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
36.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
29.0 Crosses 13.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bournemouth
1W-4D-0L
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
3.28 xG 1.32
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
350 Passes 201
76% Pass Accuracy 63%
41 Box Touches 30
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
03.04.2015 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNCL
22.11.2014 Bournemouth Bournemouth 2-2 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
21.04.2014 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNCL
29.12.2013 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bournemouth
1-2
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.87 xG 1.17
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
426 Passes 206
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
28 Box Touches 16
37 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ipswich Town nicked a narrow win over Bournemouth 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bournemouth at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Bournemouth had 64% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 36%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 1.87 to 1.17 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bournemouth.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bournemouth had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Bournemouth and 1.40 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town?

Bournemouth 1-2 Ipswich Town in the England - Premier League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 57%, draw 22%, Ipswich Town 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bournemouth) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bournemouth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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