Liverpool 1-0 Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 27% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.89
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.55
X/1
22%
3.95
X/2
6%
12.15
X/X
13%
5.75
2/1
12%
23.3
2/2
7%
10.3
2/X
5%
18.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton EU Bookmakers 19%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +1%
2.38/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.81
+22% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
437 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
36.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
19.9 Crosses 15.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Everton
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.15 xG 0.77
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
551 Passes 182
86% Pass Accuracy 65%
42 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2025 Everton Everton 2-2 HT 1-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
24.04.2024 Everton Everton 2-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
21.10.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 2-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
13.02.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 2-0 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP
03.09.2022 Everton Everton 0-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
24.04.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 2-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
1-0
AWAY Everton
1.47 xG 0.92
74% Ball Possession 26%
17 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 5
532 Passes 130
87% Pass Accuracy 63%
34 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool nicked a narrow win over Everton 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Liverpool had 74% of the ball to Everton's 26%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.47 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Liverpool and 0.67 for Everton.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs Everton?

Liverpool 1-0 Everton in the England - Premier League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 57%, draw 25%, Everton 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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