Southampton 1-1 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 2 Apr 2025

Southampton
1-1 HT 1-0
Crystal Palace
📅02/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Southampton vs Crystal Palace Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
52%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.81
No
42%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.56
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.26
6+ Goals
14%
11.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.26 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.65
1/2 EV+ ✗
14%
22.9
1/X
5%
16.75
X/1
7%
10.7
X/2
16%
4.18
X/X
14%
5.5
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
22%
2.06
2/X
8%
14.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.9 — our 14% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-5.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.9pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Southampton v Crystal Palace — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 62%
-10% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.76/2.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-31% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 82%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.7 Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards –

Southampton vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southampton
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.91 xG 1.22
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
319 Passes 338
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.12.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-1 HT 1-1 Southampton Southampton İNP
15.04.2023 Southampton Southampton 0-2 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
07.01.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-2 HT 1-1 Southampton Southampton FAK
29.10.2022 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-0 HT 1-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
30.04.2022 Southampton Southampton 1-2 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
15.12.2021 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-2 HT 1-2 Southampton Southampton İNP

Southampton 1-1 Crystal Palace — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southampton
1-1
AWAY Crystal Palace
0.67 xG 0.74
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
299 Passes 446
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Southampton vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton and Crystal Palace shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Crystal Palace at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Southampton had 42% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 58%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.67 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crystal Palace led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Southampton and 1.67 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Southampton vs Crystal Palace?

Southampton 1-1 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Southampton 21%, draw 27%, Crystal Palace 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crystal Palace), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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