Brighton & Hove Albion 0-3 Aston Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 2 Apr 2025

Brighton & Hove Albion
0-3 HT 0-0
Aston Villa
📅02/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 28% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.31
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
5.39
X/2
12%
6.43
X/X
15%
4.85
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
11%
4.35
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · X/1 at 5.39 — our 25% vs market 14.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.68/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.71
-16% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
18.3 Crosses 16.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aston Villa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.48 xG 1.55
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 Passes 294
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
30.12.2024 Aston Villa Aston Villa 2-2 HT 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
05.05.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
30.09.2023 Aston Villa Aston Villa 6-1 HT 3-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
28.05.2023 Aston Villa Aston Villa 2-1 HT 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
08.12.2022 Aston Villa Aston Villa 2-2 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion HAZ
13.11.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-2 HT 1-1 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP

Brighton & Hove Albion 0-3 Aston Villa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
0-3
AWAY Aston Villa
0.90 xG 1.23
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
397 Passes 321
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa swept aside Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Brighton & Hove Albion at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 56% of the ball to Aston Villa's 44%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.90 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 2.33 for Aston Villa.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa?

Brighton & Hove Albion 0-3 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 44%, draw 26%, Aston Villa 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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