Rijeka 1-0 Istra 1961 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.44
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.46
6+ Goals
9%
24.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
56%
-15.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
17%
+13.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.4pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 20%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
3.03/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/2.00
+67% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +104% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Istra 1961
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.09 xG 0.64
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
319 Passes 249
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.02.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 0-1 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
03.11.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
18.08.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 4-0 HT 3-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
14.04.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-2 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
04.02.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 2-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
22.10.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
1-0
AWAY Istra 1961
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Istra 1961
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka squeezed past Istra 1961 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Rijeka had 47% of the ball to Istra 1961's 53%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Rijeka and 0.33 for Istra 1961.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Istra 1961?

Rijeka 1-0 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Istra 1961?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 41%, draw 29%, Istra 1961 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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