Rijeka vs Istra 1961 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rijeka v Istra 1961 — Team-Based Signals
Rijeka vs Istra 1961 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Rijeka
HIR
6-0
HT 3-0
Istra 1961
HIR
Rijeka 0-1 Istra 1961 — Actual Match Statistics
Istra 1961 squeezed past Rijeka 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Rijeka at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Rijeka had 57% of the ball to Istra 1961's 43%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.04 to 0.62 — on chances, Rijeka could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Rijeka and 0.17 for Istra 1961.
What was the final score of Rijeka vs Istra 1961?
Rijeka 0-1 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Istra 1961?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 52%, draw 22%, Istra 1961 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.