Rijeka 0-1 Istra 1961 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.54
Over 2.5
52%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.33
No
48%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
4.85
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.3pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
61%
-12.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
39%
+12.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
39%
+13.1pp
48%
BTTS No
61%
-13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.46/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.40
+22% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
22.1 Crosses 12.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Istra 1961
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.10 xG 0.65
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
309 Passes 243
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
18.08.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 4-0 HT 3-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
14.04.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-2 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
04.02.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 2-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
22.10.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
06.08.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 6-0 HT 3-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
0-1
AWAY Istra 1961
1.04 xG 0.62
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
369 Passes 278
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Istra 1961
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 squeezed past Rijeka 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Rijeka at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rijeka had 57% of the ball to Istra 1961's 43%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.04 to 0.62 — on chances, Rijeka could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Rijeka and 0.17 for Istra 1961.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Istra 1961?

Rijeka 0-1 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Istra 1961?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 52%, draw 22%, Istra 1961 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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