Urawa Red Diamonds vs Shimizu S-Pulse Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Urawa Red Diamonds v Shimizu S-Pulse — Team-Based Signals
Urawa Red Diamonds vs Shimizu S-Pulse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Urawa Red Diamonds
JLK
1-1
HT 1-0
Shimizu S-Pulse
JLK
1-2
HT 0-1
Urawa Red Diamonds
JAP
1-1
HT 1-0
Shimizu S-Pulse
JAP
0-1
HT 0-0
Shimizu S-Pulse
JAP
0-2
HT 0-1
Urawa Red Diamonds
JAP
Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 Shimizu S-Pulse — Actual Match Statistics
Urawa Red Diamonds nicked a narrow win over Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Urawa Red Diamonds as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 44% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 56%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.40 to 1.00 — the balance of chances actually favoured Shimizu S-Pulse.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 0.83 for Shimizu S-Pulse.
What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 41%, draw 29%, Shimizu S-Pulse 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.