Kisvarda 0-1 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
44%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-8.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 56%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.21/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/0.09
+132% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kisvarda
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Paksi SE
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.05 xG 3.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
288 Passes 202
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 33
26 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 1-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
23.04.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 1-1 Kisvarda Kisvarda MACK
25.02.2024 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-1 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
29.10.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-1 HT 2-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
23.04.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-0 HT 1-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
28.01.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 2-2 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kisvarda
0-1
AWAY Paksi SE
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kisvarda vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE edged past Kisvarda 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paksi SE as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kisvarda had 50% of the ball to Paksi SE's 50%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kisvarda and 2.00 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Kisvarda vs Paksi SE?

Kisvarda 0-1 Paksi SE in the Hungary - Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kisvarda vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kisvarda 28%, draw 29%, Paksi SE 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paksi SE) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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