Ferencvaros 3-1 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
31%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
61%
-17.7pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.6pp
31%
Away Win
17%
+14.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 20%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.96/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.38
+65% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Ujpest
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.18 xG 0.57
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
435 Passes 218
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
17.08.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
19.05.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-0 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
25.02.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 0-5 HT 0-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
29.10.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-0 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
01.05.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 2-3 HT 1-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
3-1
AWAY Ujpest
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros saw off Ujpest 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Ferencvaros had 58% of the ball to Ujpest's 42%, shots finished 15-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ferencvaros and 0.33 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Ujpest?

Ferencvaros 3-1 Ujpest in the Hungary - Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 44%, draw 26%, Ujpest 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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