Cruz Azul 1-0 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.46
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
42%
+7.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 32%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
0.94/3.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.14
-22% / -71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 0.94
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
423 Passes 284
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.04.2025 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul CON
16.02.2025 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
10.11.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-1 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
18.02.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
22.10.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
05.02.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 0-1 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
1-0
AWAY Tigres UANL
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
209 Passes 393
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul squeezed past Tigres UANL 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Cruz Azul had 37% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 63%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.17 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL?

Cruz Azul 1-0 Tigres UANL in the CONCACAF Champions League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 49%, draw 28%, Tigres UANL 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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