Metz 3-3 Rodez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 2 May 2025

Metz
3-3 HT 0-0
Rodez
📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.43
Over Pick
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
26%
5.02
2-3
40%
1.97
4-5
23%
2.69
6+
11%
6.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.0
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
12%
14.0
X/1
25%
4.48
X/2
7%
10.95
X/X
7%
6.46
2/1
7%
19.95
2/2
10%
7.88
2/X
5%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metz The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Rodez The Market 23%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
1.76/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.45
+15% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.6 Crosses 20.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metz
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Rodez
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.48 xG 0.72
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
425 Passes 281
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2024 Rodez Rodez 1-3 HT 0-3 Metz Metz FR2
31.01.2023 Metz Metz 1-1 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
30.08.2022 Rodez Rodez 1-4 HT 0-3 Metz Metz FR2
POST-MATCH Metz vs Rodez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metz and Rodez shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Metz at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Metz had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Metz and 1.00 for Rodez.

What was the final score of Metz vs Rodez?

Metz 3-3 Rodez in the France - Ligue 2 on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metz vs Rodez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Metz 50%, draw 24%, Rodez 26%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Metz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Metz) ✓ Over 2.5
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