Martigues 1-1 Paris FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 2 May 2025

Martigues
1-1 HT 0-0
Paris FC
📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Martigues vs Paris FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.87
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.91
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.8
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
9%
9.59
X/2
14%
4.71
X/X
11%
5.46
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.27
2/X
6%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.8 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+6.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
49%
Away Win
53%
-4.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Martigues v Paris FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Martigues EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC EU Bookmakers 57%
-9% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.88/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.32
-20% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -8%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 82%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
17.7 Crosses 16.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Martigues vs Paris FC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Martigues
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Paris FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 2.54
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 26
5 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 5
217 Passes 570
75% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 49
11 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.01.2025 Paris FC Paris FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Martigues Martigues FR2

Martigues 1-1 Paris FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Martigues
1-1
AWAY Paris FC
0.48 xG 1.38
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 1
253 Passes 344
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Martigues vs Paris FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Martigues and Paris FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Paris FC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Martigues had 45% of the ball to Paris FC's 55%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.48 to 1.38.

What was the final score of Martigues vs Paris FC?

Martigues 1-1 Paris FC in the France - Ligue 2 on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Martigues vs Paris FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Martigues 29%, draw 22%, Paris FC 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paris FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paris FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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