Amiens SC 4-2 Pau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 2 May 2025

Amiens SC
4-2 HT 3-1
Pau
📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Amiens SC vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.15
Over 2.5
44%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
2.94
6+ Goals
9%
9.02
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 31% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
43%
+13.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
57%
-13.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.1pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Amiens SC v Pau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pau EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.13/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.63
-22% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
18.1 Crosses 21.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5

Amiens SC vs Pau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amiens SC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Pau
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.39 xG 1.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
360 Passes 368
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.10.2024 Pau Pau 0-2 HT 0-2 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
30.03.2024 Amiens SC Amiens SC 2-3 HT 1-0 Pau Pau FR2
30.09.2023 Pau Pau 1-0 HT 1-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
04.03.2023 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Pau Pau FR2
05.11.2022 Pau Pau 2-1 HT 1-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
05.03.2022 Pau Pau 2-1 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2

Amiens SC 4-2 Pau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amiens SC
4-2
AWAY Pau
2.41 xG 1.90
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
334 Passes 504
86% Pass Accuracy 91%
15 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amiens SC vs Pau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amiens SC beat Pau 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Amiens SC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amiens SC had 41% of the ball to Pau's 59%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 2.41 to 1.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pau led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Amiens SC and 1.33 for Pau.

What was the final score of Amiens SC vs Pau?

Amiens SC 4-2 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amiens SC vs Pau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amiens SC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Amiens SC 38%, draw 28%, Pau 34%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amiens SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amiens SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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