Guingamp vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guingamp v Bastia — Team-Based Signals
Guingamp vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Guingamp
FR2
1-1
HT 1-0
Guingamp
FR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR2
1-2
HT 0-0
Guingamp
FR2
Guingamp 2-2 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics
Guingamp and Bastia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Guingamp at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Guingamp had 64% of the ball to Bastia's 36%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.93 to 1.12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guingamp and 1.17 for Bastia.
What was the final score of Guingamp vs Bastia?
Guingamp 2-2 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Bastia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 46%, draw 29%, Bastia 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.