Grenoble 3-1 Troyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.7
No
58%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 32% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
55%
-12.9pp
58%
BTTS No
45%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grenoble EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Troyes EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.10/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.04
-20% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +59%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
15.1 Crosses 16.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grenoble
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Troyes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 1.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
342 Passes 317
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2024 Troyes Troyes 0-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
17.02.2024 Troyes Troyes 3-1 HT 1-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
19.08.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 0-0 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
24.04.2021 Troyes Troyes 3-1 HT 2-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
22.12.2020 Grenoble Grenoble 2-0 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
31.01.2020 Troyes Troyes 1-2 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grenoble
3-1
AWAY Troyes
3.52 xG 1.69
33% Ball Possession 67%
15 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
214 Passes 497
79% Pass Accuracy 91%
15 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Grenoble vs Troyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grenoble beat Troyes 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Troyes at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grenoble had 33% of the ball to Troyes's 67%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 3.52 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grenoble and 1.17 for Troyes.

What was the final score of Grenoble vs Troyes?

Grenoble 3-1 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grenoble vs Troyes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Grenoble 32%, draw 26%, Troyes 42%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Troyes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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