Alloa Athletic 1-4 Queen Of The South — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.0
Over 2.5
61%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.1
6+ Goals
14%
10.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.1 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
46%
-7.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
54%
+7.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -30%
1.56/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.49
-1% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Queen Of The South
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
14.02.2026 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-2 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
13.12.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
04.10.2025 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-0 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
15.03.2025 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 3-2 HT 2-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
11.01.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
09.11.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Queen Of The South
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queen Of The South cruised past Alloa Athletic 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Alloa Athletic at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queen Of The South led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alloa Athletic and 1.50 for Queen Of The South.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Queen Of The South?

Alloa Athletic 1-4 Queen Of The South in the Scotland - 1st Division on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Queen Of The South?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 46%, draw 25%, Queen Of The South 29%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alloa Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK1 More Scotland - 1st Division
2 May 2026
17:00 Montrose vs Stenhousemuir Analysis →
17:00 Cove Rangers vs East Fife Analysis →
17:00 Inverness CT vs Hamilton Analysis →