Queen Of The South 1-0 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.6
2-3 Goals
45%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
20.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.1pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.34/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.40
-14% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses 11.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queen Of The South
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
15.03.2025 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 3-2 HT 2-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
11.01.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
09.11.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
03.08.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
23.03.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
13.01.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-1 HT 1-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queen Of The South nicked a narrow win over Alloa Athletic 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Queen Of The South as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queen Of The South had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Queen Of The South and 0.83 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs Alloa Athletic?

Queen Of The South 1-0 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queen Of The South win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 44%, draw 25%, Alloa Athletic 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queen Of The South), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Queen Of The South) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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