Hamilton 3-1 Inverness CT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 35% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Inverness CT win — 45%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 50%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.47/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.98
+115% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
196 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Inverness CT
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
18.05.2024 Inverness CT Inverness CT 2-3 HT 1-3 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
15.05.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 2-1 HT 2-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
18.04.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 1-2 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
21.02.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 2-1 HT 1-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
18.02.2023 Inverness CT Inverness CT 0-3 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
18.10.2022 Inverness CT Inverness CT 0-1 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Inverness CT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton got the better of Inverness CT 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Inverness CT at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hamilton and 1.00 for Inverness CT.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Inverness CT?

Hamilton 3-1 Inverness CT in the Scotland - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Inverness CT?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 26%, draw 29%, Inverness CT 45%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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